Swift vs RCL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
DSO
1 - 5
SWI
44%
23%
34%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SWI
1 - 0
GHC
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ZWA
1 - 0
SWI
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SWI
4 - 0
AAL
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
VOO
0 - 1
SWI
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
RCL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
GHC
1 - 1
RCL
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
RCL
2 - 1
AAL
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
RIJ
5 - 2
RCL
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
RCL
2 - 2
BVC
49%
24%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
NOO
1 - 3
RCL
60%
21%
20%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |