Swift vs De Merino.s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 1
SWI
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
SWI
2 - 2
SVL
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ZWA
0 - 0
SWI
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SWI
1 - 1
CAS
85%
11%
4%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 3
SWI
34%
22%
44%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
De Merino.s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
DEM
5 - 2
CAS
85%
11%
5%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
DEV
0 - 1
DEM
49%
23%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
EEM
0 - 0
DEM
55%
22%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
DEM
2 - 1
SDV
17%
23%
61%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | +3 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
VVZ
5 - 1
DEM
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |