Swift vs De Merino.s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
7.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
SWI
2 - 0
YBO
23%
24%
53%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
SWI
1 - 2
ROD
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
MON
1 - 0
SWI
26%
24%
50%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
DBE
1 - 1
SWI
16%
21%
63%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
ZUI
2 - 3
SWI
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
De Merino.s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
HUI
2 - 1
DEM
76%
16%
8%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
SPO
5 - 2
DEM
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
DEM
3 - 0
GEI
44%
24%
32%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
DEM
0 - 1
VVZ
31%
24%
46%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
AJA
0 - 0
DEM
67%
20%
14%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |