Swift vs Lelystad .67 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
VVA
3 - 1
SWI
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SWI
2 - 2
EEM
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
CSW
2 - 2
SWI
31%
23%
46%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SWI
2 - 0
MAR
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SVL
2 - 3
SWI
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lelystad .67
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LEL
3 - 0
EEM
26%
23%
50%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
4 - 5
LEL
52%
23%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
LEL
0 - 0
ZUI
25%
23%
53%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
DVV
2 - 1
LEL
48%
23%
29%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
LEL
3 - 3
AJA
26%
24%
51%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |