Swift vs HZVV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
9.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
6º
2º
24
9º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
51% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
DHS
1 - 2
SWI
40%
23%
37%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SWI
3 - 2
FLE
69%
17%
14%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
OLD
3 - 2
SWI
34%
23%
43%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SWI
3 - 2
HED
63%
19%
18%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SDV
1 - 1
SWI
18%
20%
62%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
HZVV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
HZV
0 - 0
APE
37%
23%
40%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
DET
1 - 0
HZV
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HZV
1 - 4
HUI
23%
21%
56%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 1
HZV
74%
16%
11%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
DHS
4 - 0
HZV
69%
17%
14%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |