Swift vs Huizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
6º
2º
40
3º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
51% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HZV
3 - 2
SWI
27%
22%
51%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SWI
1 - 1
DHS
52%
24%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FLE
0 - 1
SWI
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SWI
2 - 0
OLD
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HED
1 - 2
SWI
35%
23%
42%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Huizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HUI
4 - 1
APE
46%
23%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
DET
3 - 0
HUI
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HUI
0 - 0
AJA
34%
25%
41%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HUI
0 - 0
HZV
56%
21%
23%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
DHS
6 - 5
HUI
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |