Swift vs Haaglandia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
63.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
HOE
1 - 1
SWI
45%
25%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
SWI
0 - 0
JOD
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ACH
1 - 2
SWI
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
SWI
1 - 1
SMI
60%
22%
19%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ARG
2 - 3
SWI
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Haaglandia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
FLE
6 - 2
HAA
29%
23%
48%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
HAA
0 - 2
HSC
66%
17%
17%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
JUL
4 - 4
HAA
17%
20%
63%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
HAA
6 - 2
ADO
58%
19%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 3
HAA
19%
21%
60%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +1 |