Swift vs Castricum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
4.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 3
SWI
34%
22%
44%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SWI
2 - 0
DEV
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SDV
5 - 2
SWI
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SWI
3 - 1
ZUI
36%
23%
41%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ROD
0 - 0
SWI
35%
23%
42%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Castricum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CAS
2 - 3
BRE
9%
17%
74%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CSW
3 - 1
CAS
83%
12%
6%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
VVZ
6 - 1
CAS
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 0
EEM
13%
19%
69%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 3
SVL
11%
18%
72%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | 0 |