Swift vs Breukelen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
35%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
TER
4 - 1
SWI
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SWI
2 - 1
SLI
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SWI
1 - 1
HOE
32%
25%
43%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
JOD
2 - 2
SWI
58%
21%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SWI
0 - 1
ACH
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Breukelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BRE
0 - 1
ZWA
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BRE
0 - 3
JOD
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -3 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
RVV
2 - 4
BRE
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
TER
1 - 1
BRE
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BRE
1 - 3
DFS
42%
22%
36%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |