Swift vs Breukelen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
29.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CSW
1 - 4
SWI
35%
23%
42%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SWI
2 - 0
EEM
64%
19%
17%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
ZUI
4 - 2
SWI
59%
20%
21%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SWI
2 - 3
VVZ
37%
23%
40%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SWI
4 - 1
DVV
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Breukelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
DEM
1 - 7
BRE
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BRE
0 - 0
CSW
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
RCL
2 - 4
BRE
46%
24%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
BRE
8 - 1
NOO
35%
25%
41%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +3 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SMI
1 - 2
BRE
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |