Swift vs ARC Alphense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SWI
10 - 0
DSO
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
HVC
0 - 2
SWI
18%
21%
61%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SWI
4 - 2
VAL
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SWI
3 - 1
DEL
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
FSP
0 - 4
SWI
27%
22%
51%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ARC
2 - 0
VAL
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ARC
2 - 2
NOO
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
FSP
1 - 1
ARC
42%
21%
37%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
HVC
1 - 1
ARC
37%
22%
40%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ARC
0 - 1
HAA
47%
22%
31%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |