UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 1-3
Swift Hesperange vs Slovan Bratislava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
34.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
SBR
1 - 1
SWI
53%
22%
25%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 2
SWI
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
JEU
1 - 1
SWI
21%
24%
55%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
WIL
0 - 6
SWI
17%
22%
62%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SWI
5 - 1
VIC
71%
17%
12%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Slovan Bratislava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
SBR
1 - 1
SWI
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
SBR
4 - 1
RAP
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
SBR
2 - 0
PLO
49%
23%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
SBR
2 - 1
OLI
50%
24%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SBR
3 - 0
UCL
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |