Swift Hesperange vs Racing Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
39.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
KAE
1 - 0
SWI
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SWI
3 - 1
CSP
41%
26%
34%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
UKT
2 - 0
SWI
55%
22%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RUM
3 - 3
SWI
39%
25%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FLA
3 - 4
SWI
26%
23%
51%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
RAC
3 - 1
RUM
61%
22%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
DIF
2 - 2
RAC
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
RAC
1 - 3
JEU
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
LXC
4 - 0
RAC
50%
23%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
FCR
0 - 8
RAC
13%
18%
69%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | +1 |