Swift Hesperange vs Mondercange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.7%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
5.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
77
1º
4º
1º
29
2º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
USM
0 - 4
SWI
20%
23%
57%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
SWI
4 - 0
DIF
61%
20%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 1
SWI
24%
24%
52%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SWI
2 - 2
ETZ
85%
10%
4%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
TPE
2 - 1
SWI
23%
25%
52%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mondercange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
USH
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
USM
4 - 1
MON
58%
22%
21%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
MON
3 - 3
PRO
12%
21%
67%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
DIF
2 - 0
MON
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
JEU
23%
25%
52%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |