Swift Hesperange vs Grevenmacher analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
57.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
ETZ
2 - 1
SWI
56%
21%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
USH
1 - 2
SWI
34%
24%
43%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SWI
1 - 0
PRO
36%
26%
39%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
FOL
4 - 1
SWI
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SWI
1 - 0
RAC
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Grevenmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
RAC
2 - 3
GRE
25%
22%
52%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 1
RUM
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
DIF
0 - 0
GRE
56%
22%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 2
JEU
45%
25%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
LXC
1 - 3
GRE
39%
24%
37%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |