Swift Hesperange vs Grevenmacher analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
54.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
JEU
4 - 1
SWI
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
SWI
2 - 2
PRO
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
RAC
0 - 0
SWI
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
SWI
2 - 3
KAE
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
F91
2 - 0
SWI
82%
12%
5%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Grevenmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
GRE
4 - 1
WIL
71%
17%
11%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 1
GRE
45%
24%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
GRE
0 - 2
DIF
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
LXC
3 - 2
GRE
39%
25%
37%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 0
CSP
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |