Swift Hesperange vs Etzella Ettelbruck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.4%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
4.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
77
1º
4º
1º
23
3º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
TPE
2 - 1
SWI
23%
25%
52%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SWI
3 - 0
UNA
72%
17%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ULU
1 - 3
SWI
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SWI
5 - 1
USH
83%
12%
6%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
KOB
2 - 1
SWI
3%
9%
88%
|
73 | 33 | 40 | -1 |
Matches
Etzella Ettelbruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ETZ
0 - 3
USM
24%
24%
52%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
DIF
6 - 0
ETZ
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ETZ
0 - 4
FOL
17%
20%
63%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ETZ
1 - 2
MON
29%
24%
47%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ETZ
0 - 4
F91
6%
11%
82%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |