Swift Hesperange vs Alliance 01 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
AVE
3 - 4
SWI
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
SWI
2 - 2
ULU
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
WIL
0 - 2
SWI
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
SWI
2 - 1
SPO
39%
24%
36%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
MON
1 - 0
SWI
39%
25%
37%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alliance 01
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
ALL
1 - 4
ETZ
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
VIC
3 - 0
ALL
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
ALL
3 - 2
CSP
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |