Swansea University vs Ynyshir Albions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
29.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
9º
16º
15º
24
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LLA
1 - 0
SUF
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
SUF
0 - 3
BAR
9%
18%
74%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
AAF
2 - 0
SUF
53%
20%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SUF
1 - 1
CWM
39%
21%
40%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 1
SUF
42%
22%
36%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ynyshir Albions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
GOY
1 - 1
YAF
61%
19%
21%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
YAF
4 - 3
TAF
11%
14%
75%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +3 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LLA
4 - 0
YAF
76%
15%
10%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
YAF
1 - 5
CAR
13%
20%
67%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 0
YAF
43%
22%
35%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |