Swansea University vs Cambrian United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
72.7%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
9º
16º
15º
47
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
LLA
2 - 0
SUF
81%
12%
7%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
CWM
0 - 0
SUF
80%
12%
8%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 2
SUF
63%
18%
19%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
SUF
1 - 3
LID
11%
17%
71%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
SUF
0 - 5
CAR
22%
20%
57%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Cambrian United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
TAF
1 - 2
CAM
25%
24%
52%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
CAM
3 - 1
LID
34%
23%
43%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
AAF
1 - 1
CAM
18%
18%
64%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 2
CWM
63%
20%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAM
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |