Swansea University vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.9%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
SUF
3 - 0
PON
62%
21%
18%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 4
SUF
11%
15%
73%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
SUF
4 - 2
UND
53%
23%
25%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
LLA
2 - 3
SUF
34%
22%
44%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
SUF
0 - 4
STM
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
LID
2 - 0
CAR
79%
14%
8%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 1
TRE
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
TAF
8%
16%
76%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 2
TAT
39%
24%
37%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
CAM
1 - 0
CAR
88%
9%
3%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | 0 |