Swansea City vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
29.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1927 |
SWA
1 - 3
MAC
23%
18%
60%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1927 |
BAR
1 - 1
SWA
43%
22%
35%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1927 |
SWA
4 - 1
WOL
59%
20%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1927 |
REA
3 - 0
SWA
43%
23%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1927 |
BPO
3 - 1
SWA
50%
21%
29%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1927 |
BPO
2 - 0
OPA
44%
24%
33%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1927 |
OPA
5 - 2
GRI
73%
17%
11%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1927 |
OPA
7 - 2
OLD
61%
22%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1927 |
SOU
0 - 2
OPA
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1927 |
OPA
2 - 1
MAC
30%
23%
47%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |