Swansea City vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1933 |
PNE
3 - 0
SWA
70%
18%
13%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1933 |
SWA
5 - 1
BRA
47%
26%
28%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 1933 |
GRI
3 - 1
SWA
78%
13%
9%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1933 |
SWA
1 - 1
NTT
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1933 |
SWA
1 - 1
NOT
52%
24%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1933 |
OLD
2 - 0
NOT
63%
20%
18%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1933 |
POR
2 - 0
OLD
65%
19%
16%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1933 |
OLD
4 - 3
BRA
63%
21%
17%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1933 |
BPO
0 - 0
OLD
80%
12%
8%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1933 |
OLD
1 - 4
BRE
63%
19%
18%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |