Swansea City vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1927 |
STO
1 - 1
SWA
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1927 |
SWA
1 - 1
BRI
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1927 |
CHL
4 - 0
SWA
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1927 |
SWA
5 - 0
LEY
66%
18%
16%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1927 |
WBA
5 - 2
SWA
86%
9%
6%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1927 |
OLD
3 - 0
WOL
66%
18%
15%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1927 |
POR
1 - 0
OLD
58%
21%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1927 |
OLD
4 - 1
NTT
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1927 |
LEE
1 - 0
OLD
66%
19%
14%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1927 |
OLD
2 - 2
SOU
73%
16%
11%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |