Swansea City vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
50.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
PNE
2 - 1
SWA
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SWA
1 - 1
COV
45%
26%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
WBA
3 - 2
SWA
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
SWA
3 - 0
NOR
68%
19%
14%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
SWA
1 - 1
BIR
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BOU
0 - 2
TOT
17%
21%
62%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
LIV
3 - 1
BOU
82%
13%
6%
|
83 | 97 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BOU
1 - 1
WHU
23%
24%
53%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BOU
2 - 0
LOR
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
BOU
1 - 3
ATL
22%
23%
55%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |