Swan United vs Floreat Athena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
66.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swan United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
SUF
3 - 1
COC
29%
24%
46%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
SUF
1 - 0
SOR
38%
24%
38%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
COC
3 - 4
SUF
75%
16%
10%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
SUF
2 - 3
FLO
13%
19%
68%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
ING
2 - 0
SUF
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Floreat Athena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
MAN
2 - 1
FLO
22%
22%
56%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2007 |
ARM
3 - 5
FLO
12%
18%
70%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2007 |
FLO
3 - 2
WES
75%
16%
9%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
SUF
2 - 3
FLO
13%
19%
68%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
FLO
3 - 2
SOR
80%
14%
7%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |