SW Nierfeld vs Hilal Bergheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
66.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SW Nierfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BGP
0 - 3
NIE
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
NIE
0 - 0
GET
36%
22%
43%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
NIE
5 - 0
ALE
37%
22%
42%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SCB
3 - 2
NIE
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
NIE
0 - 1
NIE
35%
21%
43%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Hilal Bergheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
HBE
4 - 1
GER
76%
14%
10%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
DUR
2 - 5
HBE
34%
23%
43%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
HBE
1 - 0
SVR
83%
11%
6%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
SFD
0 - 2
HBE
9%
15%
76%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ALE
0 - 1
HBE
14%
18%
68%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | +1 |