SW Nierfeld vs Alemannia Mariadorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
41.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SW Nierfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SCB
3 - 2
NIE
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
NIE
0 - 1
NIE
35%
21%
43%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
IHN
2 - 2
NIE
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
NIE
1 - 4
VFL
21%
20%
59%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
HEW
3 - 0
NIE
56%
20%
24%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Alemannia Mariadorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 0
GER
23%
21%
57%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
DUR
1 - 0
ALE
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ALE
0 - 1
HBE
14%
18%
68%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ALE
4 - 2
SVR
31%
23%
47%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SFD
1 - 5
ALE
35%
22%
43%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +2 |