SVW 27 vs Pancratius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
59.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SVW 27
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
DEK
2 - 4
SVW
69%
19%
13%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SVW
1 - 2
STO
20%
22%
58%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SVW
1 - 3
ROD
19%
21%
60%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
NVC
2 - 3
SVW
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SVW
0 - 2
DWV
20%
22%
58%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Pancratius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
PAN
3 - 1
ACA
43%
24%
34%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
DEM
1 - 1
PAN
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
EDO
4 - 1
PAN
59%
22%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
PAN
2 - 0
VVI
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ROD
3 - 2
PAN
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |