Svilengrad vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
56.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Svilengrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
CHE
5 - 0
SVI
76%
17%
8%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2007 |
MAR
3 - 2
SVI
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
SVI
0 - 1
SPA
23%
26%
52%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
SVE
2 - 0
SVI
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
SVI
2 - 2
ROD
21%
25%
54%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
NES
3 - 1
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
SPA
0 - 1
NES
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
NES
4 - 1
SVE
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
ROD
2 - 0
NES
66%
21%
14%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
NES
2 - 1
BEN
78%
15%
8%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |