Svelta Melsele vs Grembergen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.5%
Win probability
3.7
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.2%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.3%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.9%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
7.1%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
7%
3.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
14º
5º
23
10º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
92% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 47 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 45 |
8º
|
45% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
40.5% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 42 |
12º
|
75% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 37 |
13º
|
94.5% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
23 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 0 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Svelta Melsele
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SOT
4 - 1
SVE
24%
21%
55%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SVE
4 - 1
KSK
18%
23%
59%
|
36 | 74 | 38 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
KVV
1 - 1
SVE
43%
22%
35%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SVE
6 - 2
KHZ
85%
9%
5%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MAL
2 - 2
SVE
31%
23%
47%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Grembergen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
GBG
1 - 1
KSC
25%
21%
54%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BER
2 - 1
GBG
73%
15%
12%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GBG
0 - 3
MAL
27%
21%
53%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ARD
0 - 1
GBG
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
EEN
1 - 0
GBG
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |