Svelta Melsele vs Excelsior Mariakerke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
13.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
14º
5º
31
7º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
92% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 47 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 45 |
8º
|
45% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
40.5% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 42 |
12º
|
75% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 37 |
13º
|
94.5% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 0 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Svelta Melsele
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
EEN
1 - 1
SVE
30%
24%
46%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SVE
4 - 1
SKM
57%
19%
24%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
STN
0 - 2
SVE
12%
17%
71%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SVE
3 - 1
KTB
39%
21%
40%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +3 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SVE
3 - 1
HAA
64%
18%
19%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Mariakerke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
KSC
2 - 1
ARD
43%
23%
35%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SOT
2 - 1
KSC
47%
22%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
KSC
2 - 2
BER
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
HAA
1 - 1
KSC
45%
22%
34%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
KSC
2 - 3
KVV
39%
22%
40%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |