Svelta Melsele vs Berlare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
24.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+74%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
14º
5º
43
1º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
92% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 47 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 45 |
8º
|
45% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
40.5% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 42 |
12º
|
75% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 37 |
13º
|
94.5% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 0 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Svelta Melsele
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KSC
3 - 3
SVE
45%
21%
34%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
JET
2 - 1
SVE
61%
22%
18%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
TER
1 - 2
SVE
64%
19%
16%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
SVE
2 - 5
WAA
6%
13%
82%
|
28 | 67 | 39 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
VWH
4 - 2
SVE
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Berlare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BER
4 - 1
STN
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
OUD
2 - 0
BER
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
BER
2 - 0
ARD
40%
25%
35%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
BER
4 - 3
KSK
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
BER
3 - 2
DEN
26%
21%
54%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |