Zams vs Mils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
76.3%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zams
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
MOT
5 - 1
SVZ
88%
8%
4%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
SVZ
0 - 1
SPG
17%
19%
64%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
SCM
4 - 0
SVZ
74%
15%
11%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
SVZ
1 - 1
FCK
18%
19%
64%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
SVZ
1 - 0
ZIR
20%
20%
60%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Mils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SCM
4 - 1
VOL
72%
16%
13%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
KUN
5 - 1
SCM
40%
22%
38%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
ZIR
0 - 6
SCM
20%
19%
61%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
SCM
7 - 0
KEM
41%
21%
38%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SCM
4 - 3
UNI
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |