Zams vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
77%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zams
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SVZ
0 - 3
UNI
30%
22%
48%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
SVZ
0 - 2
KUN
12%
18%
69%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
VOL
3 - 0
SVZ
78%
13%
9%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
KEM
3 - 3
SVZ
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
SVZ
0 - 5
SCM
10%
14%
76%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
KIR
0 - 0
KUN
44%
22%
34%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
KEM
2 - 0
KIR
50%
21%
29%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
KIR
0 - 3
SCM
48%
20%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MOT
5 - 2
KIR
63%
18%
19%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
KIR
3 - 0
SPG
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |