SV Villach vs St. Michael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Villach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
SPI
1 - 2
SVV
60%
21%
19%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
SVV
2 - 0
FEL
20%
21%
59%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +3 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
BLE
2 - 2
SVV
31%
25%
45%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
SKA
1 - 3
SVV
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
SVV
2 - 1
SAS
63%
21%
17%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
St. Michael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
MIC
1 - 1
SKA
21%
24%
55%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
MIC
2 - 2
WEL
46%
25%
29%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
SAS
1 - 2
MIC
41%
25%
34%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
WOL
2 - 1
MIC
53%
23%
24%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
MIC
2 - 0
SVP
71%
18%
11%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |