Victory Boys vs SUBT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victory Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
VIC
3 - 3
HOL
49%
25%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 3
VIC
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
HUB
0 - 6
VIC
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SIT
0 - 1
VIC
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
COL
0 - 4
VIC
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
SUB
0 - 2
BAR
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
DOM
4 - 1
SUB
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
HOL
0 - 0
SUB
49%
26%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SUB
1 - 3
HUB
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
DOM
0 - 1
SUB
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |