Unter-Flockenbach vs FC Erlensee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
28.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
13º
20º
17º
49
2º
19º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
82 | 82 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
69 | 69 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
65 | 65 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
62 | 62 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
60 | 60 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 58 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 52 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
70% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
46 | 46 |
13º
|
52% | |
|
14º
|
45 | 45 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
44 | 44 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
41 | 41 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
40 | 40 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
37 | 37 |
18º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
37 | 37 |
19º
|
0% | |
|
20º
|
25 | 25 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unter-Flockenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
TUR
4 - 1
SUF
72%
16%
13%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SUF
4 - 1
ROT
40%
21%
39%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GIE
6 - 0
SUF
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SUF
4 - 1
STE
25%
20%
55%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
BAY
2 - 2
SUF
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Erlensee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GIE
1 - 1
FCE
81%
13%
7%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FCE
4 - 1
STE
39%
21%
39%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FCH
1 - 1
FCE
82%
12%
7%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCE
1 - 3
BAU
24%
21%
55%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
EDD
2 - 0
FCE
66%
19%
16%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |