Traun vs Sierning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
58.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Traun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
SVT
1 - 0
GMU
25%
24%
52%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
BAD
5 - 2
SVT
77%
14%
9%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
SVT
1 - 4
VOR
11%
20%
69%
|
12 | 54 | 42 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2010 |
SVT
0 - 2
UMA
60%
22%
18%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -3 |
| 04 Jun. 2010 |
2 - 1
SVT
49%
23%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sierning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
SIE
1 - 1
BAD
53%
23%
25%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
VOR
0 - 0
SIE
85%
11%
4%
|
20 | 54 | 34 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
SIE
5 - 0
EFE
74%
17%
9%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
SIE
1 - 3
HAR
13%
19%
68%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | -2 |
| 11 Jun. 2010 |
NEU
2 - 1
SIE
59%
21%
20%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |