St. Jakob vs Bleiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
36.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
5º
14º
15º
31
7º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 48 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
73.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
51.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
58% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 29 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
60.5% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Jakob
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
KMD
1 - 1
SVJ
44%
24%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SVJ
2 - 1
AUK
35%
22%
43%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ATV
2 - 2
SVJ
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
SVJ
0 - 1
FLC
41%
23%
36%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
SPI
1 - 1
SVJ
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bleiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BLE
1 - 1
DIG
23%
21%
56%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
VOL
3 - 0
BLE
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BLE
5 - 1
LEN
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BLE
1 - 0
DON
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
KLA
2 - 2
BLE
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |