Sparta Lichtenberg vs TUS Makkabi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
23.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
5º
11º
6º
48
3º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 46 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
67.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 0 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GWA
1 - 2
SVS
24%
21%
55%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SVS
1 - 1
PRE
31%
24%
45%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BAK
0 - 0
SVS
52%
20%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 1
SVS
23%
20%
57%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
FBI
2 - 3
SVS
11%
15%
74%
|
37 | 10 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
TUS Makkabi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TUM
4 - 0
SCS
56%
20%
24%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MAH
4 - 2
TUM
55%
20%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
TUM
1 - 1
OPT
52%
21%
27%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
TUM
0 - 5
BSC
60%
20%
21%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
ANK
2 - 2
TUM
34%
22%
44%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |