Sparta Lichtenberg vs Dynamo Schwerin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.9%
16.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
5º
11º
6º
36
8º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 46 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
67.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 0 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LIC
1 - 1
SVS
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SVS
1 - 4
TUM
57%
20%
24%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GWA
1 - 2
SVS
24%
21%
55%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SVS
1 - 1
PRE
31%
24%
45%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BAK
0 - 0
SVS
52%
20%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Schwerin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
DSC
2 - 1
SCS
47%
21%
32%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MAH
2 - 2
DSC
71%
16%
13%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DSC
1 - 4
OPT
43%
22%
36%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
DSC
1 - 2
TAS
49%
21%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LIC
5 - 0
DSC
71%
17%
11%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | -1 |