Sparta Lichtenberg vs Staaken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
26.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
2º
10º
3º
32
4º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ANK
2 - 2
SVS
34%
22%
44%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SVS
2 - 1
MAH
40%
22%
38%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
OPT
1 - 1
SVS
38%
21%
41%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SVS
1 - 1
TEN
42%
21%
37%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
DSC
1 - 3
SVS
33%
22%
45%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Staaken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
SCS
1 - 3
MAH
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
TEN
5 - 1
SCS
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
RFC
0 - 1
SCS
44%
23%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SCS
2 - 0
RSV
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
SCS
4 - 1
UNI
69%
17%
14%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |