Sparta Lichtenberg vs Neustrelitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
5º
11º
6º
45
3º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 46 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
67.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 0 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
RFC
0 - 2
SVS
11%
14%
75%
|
47 | 13 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
SVS
4 - 4
GWA
69%
18%
14%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
PRE
0 - 6
SVS
59%
23%
19%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +3 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
SVS
1 - 2
SCS
80%
12%
8%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
MAH
3 - 2
SVS
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Neustrelitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
NEU
4 - 4
SCS
62%
22%
17%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
MAH
3 - 2
NEU
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
NEU
2 - 1
OPT
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
DSC
1 - 2
NEU
22%
20%
58%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
NEU
2 - 1
LIC
11%
17%
72%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | +2 |