Sparta Lichtenberg vs Hansa Rostock II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
45.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
5º
11º
6º
60
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 46 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
67.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 0 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
NEU
3 - 1
SVS
35%
22%
43%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SVS
7 - 0
RFC
77%
13%
10%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SVS
2 - 1
TAS
47%
21%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SCS
1 - 3
SVS
34%
21%
45%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SVS
3 - 2
MAH
45%
22%
34%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Hansa Rostock II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
HAN
7 - 0
SCS
86%
9%
5%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MAH
1 - 1
HAN
27%
23%
50%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
HAN
5 - 1
OPT
79%
13%
8%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
DSC
1 - 4
HAN
23%
22%
55%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
HAN
0 - 3
LIC
29%
22%
48%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |