River Plate vs La Fama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
29.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
EST
2 - 5
RIV
49%
21%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
RIV
1 - 1
RCA
31%
21%
48%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
NAC
3 - 1
RIV
70%
16%
14%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
RIV
1 - 1
SVC
76%
13%
11%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
DAK
2 - 1
RIV
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
La Fama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
FAM
4 - 0
ASF
52%
21%
27%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
BUB
0 - 2
FAM
19%
20%
61%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
FAM
1 - 0
BRI
25%
21%
54%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FAM
1 - 2
DAK
23%
20%
58%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
FAM
38%
23%
39%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |