River Plate vs La Fama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
31.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
2º
7º
6º
11
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 15 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 14 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
UFC
4 - 4
RIV
10%
14%
77%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
RIV
2 - 3
FAM
38%
23%
39%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
RCA
4 - 0
RIV
64%
18%
17%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 6
DAK
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 4
EST
74%
14%
11%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
La Fama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
FAM
0 - 5
DAK
38%
22%
39%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
FAM
1 - 4
BRI
55%
21%
25%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
RCA
3 - 2
FAM
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2022 |
DAK
1 - 0
FAM
52%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
BRI
2 - 4
FAM
52%
22%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |