River Plate vs La Fama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2008 |
SVJ
1 - 0
RIV
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2008 |
RIV
2 - 1
EST
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
RIV
0 - 0
NAC
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
SVE
1 - 2
RIV
38%
25%
37%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
RIV
2 - 1
CAR
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
La Fama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2008 |
NAC
3 - 1
FAM
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
FAM
6 - 0
SVE
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 7
FAM
22%
23%
55%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
FAM
2 - 1
RCA
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
FAM
0 - 0
DAK
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |