River Plate vs Estrella Papilon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
11.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 2
RIV
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 0
BRI
37%
21%
42%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 3
RIV
61%
19%
20%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
RIV
5 - 1
BUB
69%
16%
14%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 3
FAM
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
EST
0 - 7
DAK
21%
21%
58%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
EST
0 - 2
NAC
27%
22%
52%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
BRI
6 - 1
EST
67%
17%
16%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
EST
1 - 1
CAR
31%
22%
47%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2022 |
DAK
7 - 0
EST
61%
21%
19%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |