River Plate vs Estrella Papilon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
64.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
RIV
2 - 4
BUB
29%
22%
49%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
FAM
0 - 0
RIV
31%
22%
47%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
RIV
2 - 3
BRI
18%
18%
63%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
RCA
8 - 0
RIV
82%
11%
7%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
RIV
1 - 5
BRA
58%
18%
23%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
EST
3 - 3
FAM
85%
10%
4%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
EST
3 - 0
RCA
43%
24%
34%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
BRI
1 - 2
EST
46%
23%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 2
EST
21%
19%
60%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
EST
2 - 2
SVC
91%
7%
2%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |